Global warming–you be the judge!
I liberally adapted the latest NASA report for this article, as follows:
Solar irradiance! That is the Sun fluxing with us with its output. It’s always fluxing around—i.e., it varies. The Sun is really bright! It’s luminosity increased over the past few billion years (it wants to be a red giant). There’s this 11 year cycle of sunspot activity. Flares erupt with a massive energy release. And, how about those fluctuations that occur over thousands of years accompanied with changes in the Sun’s magnetic field? Solar magnetically driven variability may be mainly what causes the Earth’s climate to vary. Who knows? But, that seems to be the case looking back over the past 10,000 years. Of course, the last 50 years is just us (the government made me say that). But, guess what? The effect on Earth climate of just small variations in Solar energy can be major. But, there are all of these global trends that stand out and confuse us—i.e., local events like the El Nino-Southern Oscillation. Solar variability affects Earth’s climate from the top down and the bottom up. Here’s the dynamics: looking down the stratosphere is connected to the troposphere and the troposphere is connected to the yada, yada, yada; and, looking up, the ocean (and rest of the Earth’s surface) interacts with solar energy and that leads to changes in temperature. The result: a dynamical air-sea coupling in the tropical Pacific. It’s multifaceted. Duh! There are a lot of questions: what is the climate response to solar activity and no solar activity, changes in TSI, spectral variability, particle events, cosmic-ray variability, volcanic aerosols, the Antarctic ozone hole. The key problem is, we now admit the Little Ice Age existed. And, the Maunder Minimum existed too. And, we don’t know how any of these activities are related or just coincide with our observations and which may be effects or a part of an emerging pattern of paleoclimate change. In other words, given our pitifully short perspective we were by analogy born yesterday. By comparison, compressing time to one of our years, from the age of the solar system the beginning of life on Earth has been in just the last few minutes with America being about 3 seconds old. Accordingly we’re incapable of understanding anything at all — we’re babies: creatures of a dynamical Sun-air-sea living model using computers to play numbers games to scare each other. Even so, this is exciting research. But, we really need to improve our credibility because our attribution skills are nutty. And for sure we are driven to keep modeling like crazy (on some else’s dime) like hysterical people building Towers of Babel despite the fact if there is any true substance to general circulation models (GCMs) –i.e., the mathematical models Western government scientists use only to indict humanity for living — it is well disguised.
See—e.g., “The Effects of Solar Variability on Earth’s Climate: A Workshop Report,” NASA (Updated/Added to NTRS: Jan 30, 2013)
To summarize, it is multifaceted. We understand there are a lot of questions to be answered–i.e., many more than wondering only about the climate response to solar activity and no solar activity, changes in TSI, spectral variability, particle events, cosmic-ray variability, volcanic aerosols, the Antarctic ozone hole. Scientific skeptics did not just recently discover that the Little Ice Age and the Maunder Minimum really existed. Scientific skeptics undertand that we do not know all of the factors and they also know there is not enough computer power on earth to resolve a mathematical model that did contain all of the factors even if we knew how they were all related.
We don’t need brilliance here. What we need is honor. We need fiscal responsibility. We need academic and scientific integrity. Knowing the truth does not stop government scientists from simply declaring that looking back over the past 10,000 years the Sun is responsible for Earth’s climate but of course over the last 50 years it is just us that is causing global warming and we must stop ourselves by taxing ourselves into oblivion.
Academia feels honorable fascilitating Western governments’ view on the matter — irrespective of the conclusons we must draw using the scientific method and employing common sense to tackle real problems — because they are recipients of tax dollars. That’s where we are today and nothing is going to change in the future until Western civilization either runs out of money or starts trimming the budget, beginning with a state-run dysfunctional education system that no longer delivers the mail Monday through Friday.
The Logic is Simple
It is a fact that natural variation that cannot be the eliminated as the source of all climate change. NASA admits that and also that a human signal cannot be teased out of the data.
Given the actual corruption of the data — due to the UHI effect — only an crazy person would look for a human signal in uncorrupted data. That would be an insane waste of time. Obviously, there’s no human signal to be found there, right?
Accordingly, the logic is simple: it’s even a greater waste of time to look for a human signal in corrupted data. In a sane world, everyone would agree with that. And, that is why global waming alarmism is called a mass mania. Western civilization is as nutty as the pre-WWII Germany population that tried to take over the world and turn its back on wanton murder. It happens. Societies die and usually it is from rotting from within from the head down. That is what’s so bad: academia was supposed to be better than this and they’re not.