The geophysics of our dynamic water world may be unique in all the universe. If so, it confounds a statistical analysis of Earth’s climate and throws cold water on the simplistic idea that we can use numbers to get a peek at our future.
Statistically, with a sample size of only one, the degrees of freedom would be zero —i.e., our observations are not a subset of many possible realities, they are reality! What we see is what we get; and, all we’re ever gonna get… nothing more or less. An average weather is meaningless. “We have to keep our feet on the ground,” says Dinesh D’Souza (see the, debate at Dartmouth), “or we run the risk of losing the human and realistic perspective of things.”
The Left’s obsession with the successful in our free enterprise system blinds them to the threat of a metastasizing government bureaucracy. Fear of capitalism has been like a disease that already has infected academia and the public-funded government education complex with a sort of self-reinforcing stupidity that interferes with our most basic human need to see and appreciate the world around us for what it really is. Fear of global warming that is exclusively a Leftist predilection is simply a manifestation of that disease.
“Climate is nothing but the sum of all weather events during some representative period of time. The length of this period cannot be strictly specified, but ought to encompass at least 100 years… Despite all these issues, climate research has progressed greatly, above all through new revolutionary observations from space, such as the possibility to measure both volume and mass of the oceans. Temperature and water vapor content of the atmosphere are measured by occultation with GPS satellites… It is not surprising that the public is impressed by this and that this trust transfers to climate forecasts and the possibility to predict the earth’s future climate. That all this occurs within a context of international cooperation under the supervision of the UN, and with an apparent unity among the scientists involved has created a robust confidence in IPCC’s climate simulations… Unfortunately, things are not as splendid as they seem. As a result of chaos theory, weather and climate cannot be predicted, and how future climate will turn out will not be known until future is upon us… This should be clear to anyone, simply by moving back in time and contemplating what has unfolded… (Lennart Bengtsson: My view on climate research)
Climate is as weather does. “The lesson is,” says Tomas Milanovic (How simple is simple), “that even if global may often seem simpler than local, the laws of nature always work in the other direction – from local to global… the often repeated statement Climate is not weather is misleading. The right statement is “Climate is uniquely dependent on weather because its properties can only be derived from a known weather by averaging it over some arbitrary space or time domain.”
“The greatest enemy of knowledge is not ignorance, it is the illusion of knowledge. ~Daniel Boorstin
Lennart Bengtsson tried to shine a spotlight on the functional stupidity of current climate science. The reaction of the community of Climate-Man Global Warming (CAGW) cultists should have been expected. Bengtsson was attacked (The low-point, says Bengtsson, is probably having been labeled “world criminal” by a representative of the English wind power-industry). Bengtsson’s sobering appraisal of the situation – a sort of reflexive, organization-wide self-reinforcing ignorance – only renewed the internal conversation of continuing self-reinforcing persuasion among the government’s climate experts. Using images and symbolic manipulation to repress doubts and to lend coherence to the CAGW narrative has become the only mission of any real importance to the Western government-education establishment.
“Indeed a cursory observation of climatic phenomena shows a staggering complexity on all spatial and temporal scales. Tornadoes, storms, hurricanes, precipitation, clouds, oceanic oscillations, rivers and currents, ice dynamics and much more – they all show infinite diversity in extent, duration and intensity. ~Tomas Milanovic
In the failure of climate science lies a lesson for us all. Societies also are in a constant fight against destabilizing forces at the boundaries. Ultimately, the center caves in and change for better or worse is both expected and unavoidable.
If we’ve learned anything it is that the CAGW cultists don’t think much of humanity. Secular, socialist Big Government science authoritarians believe humans are destroying the planet; and, those in Western civilization that actually work for a living are especially guilty of global warming. Those on the Left cannot prove their CAGW hypothesis but they certainly have proven they harbor a lot ill-will for that part of humanity still productively engaged in the business of living (see–e.g., the analogy of pie makers in the link above, “debate at Dartmouth”).
CAGW cultists are trying to feel important by telling everyone else what to think and do and how to live. If we don’t believe in their computer models these self-defeating nihilists of global warming, say: If you don’t turn from your evil production of CO2 a mighty hell-fire and brimstone will shower down upon thee. The Left’s new reality is the old morality; their vision is not toward a brighter future but to the worst of the past.
“ My first heresy says that all the fuss about global warming is grossly exaggerated. Here I am opposing the holy brotherhood of climate model experts and the crowd of deluded citizens who believe the numbers predicted by the computer models. ~Freeman Dyson