The Art of Global Warming

Pepper Hot Weather

Western governments call on academia’s climatologists to halt climate change and stop seas from rising. Big job!

Once viewed as simple school teachers, climatologists with their computers and binders of temperatures from around the world have been given the job of proving government must be given power over the people to mitigate the combined effects of humanity, evil business, out-of-control capitalism and excesses of modernity that together are producing too much CO2. They believe this excess CO2 is more than nature can handle and that it causes global warming. Leftists, liberals and environmentalists agree and believe we must be very concerned; and, we all should be fearful enough of the consequences of global warming to do whatever we can to stop it.

Western climatologists in particular have studied slices of trees that have been gathered from remote areas. They count rings and concoct sacred formulas to learn the secret truths embedded within the rings. As the Western climatologists attempt to divine miracles within the rings of trees, environmentalists blame business for cutting down trees, liberals moan about us humans using too many trees and Leftists want government to stop us.

Perhaps even worse than global warming, nothing terrifies liberal fascists more than people who are free to make choices for themselves. The real miracle is that enterprising individuals working in a dynamic capitalistic economy, also live in the beauty of the real world and have been able to cut through all of the superstition, ignorance and government fearmongering.

Using less wood is logically inconsistent with reducing C02 emissions on this planet. So the solution is to grow more trees and use more wood. And the public is being told, unfortunately, the opposite by many people — and they’re getting the impression that by using less wood we can save the trees. 80% of all the timber produced in the United States, for example, is from private land. Why is that? Because private landowners can make money growing trees, because people want wood. If those private landowners had no market for wood, they’d clear the forest away and grow something else that they could make money from instead. When you go into a lumber yard, you’re given the impression that by buying wood you’re causing the forest to be lost, when in fact what you’re doing is sending a signal into the market to plant more trees. That’s why there’s just about the same area of forest in the United States today as there was a hundred years ago. And that’s why there’s no more land being used for agriculture today than there was a hundred years ago. It’s because of high-yield agriculture. ~Patrick Moore (cofounder of Greenpeace, renegade environmentalist and global warming heretic)

Kneeling 0n the bank of an ancient river and peering into the mud, there isn’t much there in the waters and mummified remains of petrified herbs upon which the modern-day sorcerers of global warming can work their magic. Rather, it is what they cannot see and what they feel from head to toe that provides most of the information that they know will ultimately guide us to the truth, their truth.

The ancient sacred rituals have given way to a more scientific interpretation of information, which is no less sacred. Like any ritual art the methods of transforming disturbances into predictions must be nurtured and protected from skeptics and unbelievers.

The ritual is not complete until computers complete their job of churning the last bit of data. Only then can the sorcerers share the precious results of all these machinations with their elders and peers; and, then they must disseminate their precious forecasts of the future to the teachers and a waiting public along with the explanations that must be concocted to help us understand what computers are telling us.

Legend days are over. This is a new science that cannot be ignored. And, so we must pay tribute to them for their knowledge and new roll in society through ever higher taxes and other burdens they say we must assume for the benefit of future generations. This is truth at its most profound level because most of what the witchdoctors of doom have predicted cannot actually be observed in nature by the old science.

So far, only Westerners have mastery over the skills that are required to accurately foretell the climate. Only climatologists have felt the immensity of impending doom in their blood: the demise of species and indigenous races, the record heat, boiling waters, rising seas, extreme storms, relentless snow then no snow and no more rain, followed by searing drought, starvation, death. We are responsible for all of the bad that has not yet happened and someone must warn the congregation of the coming disaster and stop the evildoers.

Is climatology the product of modern-day technology or insanity? Are the sorcerers of global warming spreading hidden truths about climate change and saving humanity from itself or are they new-age charlatans and doom-makers engaged only on serving their own interests and needs?

On a positive note, NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory, using twin satellites orbiting Earth in tandem to measure changes in Earth’s gravity, figured out that the seas are not actually rising as fast as global warming alarmists predicted. The rate of sea level rise slowed by about 20%, or about 1 millimeter per year, according to a study published in Science.

“In many other respects, the ill effects of warming are overblown,” says Prof. Lindzen. “Sea levels, for example, have been increasing since the end of the last ice age. When you look at recent centuries in perspective, ignoring short-term fluctuations, the rate of sea-level rise has been relatively uniform (less than a couple of millimeters a year). There’s even some evidence that the rate was higher in the first half of the twentieth century than in the second half.”

According to old school statisticians McShane and Wyner on the reliability of least squares reconstructions of proxy-based historical temperatures, “the long flat handle of the hockey stick [referring to a graph adopted by the UN-IPCC purporting to be an accurate record of Earth’s global mean temperature over the last 1000 years] is best understood to be a feature of regression and less a reflection of our knowledge of the truth.” But, the new science of global warming does not want to hear that truth.

If we do nothing to stop this insanity, science will rightly be regarded as just another racket. ~Richard S. Lindzen

 

 

 

Updated, 11 March 2016
Posted in The Cultural Hegemony of Climate Superstition | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , ,

Portable Essay Technique – Too Much Global Warming

Amazing Portable Essay Writer

Is it Safe?

I had just moved to a new neighborhood. I knew no one or anything really and was only eleven when I made a great discovery that changed my life. I was going nowhere with this paper route and thought my best days obviously were over – especially early in the morning, every weekend when the Sunday edition was so heavy. I just shook my head as I folded papers and wondered, “Why the hell do I do this while everyone else sleeps?”

About then a junk insert that fell out of the paper, inauspicious as it was, nearly went unnoticed. The crafty headline went something like this: Make money writing about anything or even nothing. With your very own all-purpose essay format even you can be a government expert!

That is when I learned that there is too much bullshit in the world. Are you worried about too much fat or meat or SALT or diet Coke in your diet or too many parts per million of CO2 in the atmosphere, etc.? I will prove it is all BS right here and now by using the article above about the reasons why the ‘Scientists can’t agree whether salt is killing us’ to expose below the reasons why global warming is nothing but a hoax (it is simply a Leftist scare tactic to take over the economy). And, proving it is BS is as simple as exchanging the word ‘salt’ in the article above with CO2 or global warming, to wit:

For years, the federal government has advised Americans that humanity must stop using fossil fuel, and that this consumption is warming the planet with disastrous consequences for the Earth and all living things on the Earth.

However, unknown to many consumers urged to buy electric cars and pay higher taxes to subsidize more expensive alternative fuels, this longstanding warning about too much warming has come under assault by scientists who say that a higher concentration of atmospheric CO2 is without risk.

Moreover, according to studies published in recent years by pillars of the academic community, the lower utilization of fossil fuel recommended by the government might actually be dangerous. “There is no longer any valid basis for the current warnings about releasing too much CO2,” said Wagathon, a blog contributor at ‘Climate Etc.’ and one of many non-government scientists involved in exposing the global warming hoax. “So why are we still scaring people about global warming?”

Nevertheless, the debate over CO2 is among the most contentious in the field of climate, and other scientists, including the leadership of Western academia and Western governments continue to support the decades-old warning about too much CO2 in the air.  The result is that as the federal government prepares its influential EPA Guidelines and crafts new energy policies for the rest of us to live by, bureaucrats confront a quandary: They must either retract one of their oldest climate change commandments or overlook prominent new doubts about the global warming hypothesis.

The EPA Guidelines cover an array of power plant energy generation issues including the use of coal, oil, natural gas and ethanol. They have broad effects on the wellbeing of all Americans, shape the utilization of scarce resources in the economy, increase the costs of basic goods and services enjoyed by all, guide advertisers and serve as a touchstone for reams of global warming research.

Wagathon said that as a scientific skeptic who has been branded by the global warming establishment as a denier, he has been trying to stay neutral in what he considers the “hot buttonest” of topics.

“When you are making recommendations for 300 million people, you have to be concerned about any data that suggests harm,” Wagathon said. Climate change has become a Left versus right issue and some politicians on the right said that the federal guidelines would consider comments from the public and scientific skeptics who question the advice of government scientists. Unfortunately, known mostly for their general incompetence, modern-day politicians on both sides of every issue generally are expected only to reaffirm the status quo such as the current convenient belief in global warming, despite the obvious ideological biases that exist, if it serves their own personal agenda.

No matter what the government comes up with on global warming, however, Americans may be left confused. The scientific question remains: How much is too much?

There is one area of consensus: Both sides agree that too much fossil fuel, especially for people who are concerned about pollution, can be dangerous. The critical disagreement concerns how to define “too much.”

Under the current government guidelines, too much is more than 400 ppm of atmospheric CO2 – the current amount of CO2 concentration in the atmosphere. For people in the developed world and especially in US (the most prosperous nation on Earth), the current level of fossil-fuel use should be zero per day.

If the official government CO2 warnings are correct, Americans are indeed endangering themselves on a massive scale. Americans typically go way over the limit, meeting around 82 percent of US daily energy demands using fossil fuels.

If the skeptics are correct, on the other hand, most Americans are fine. In their view, a typical healthy economy requires more energy for continued wellbeing and to raise  the general standard of living for everyone whereas using less energy is not without significantly raising health risks.

To understand how divided scientists are on global warming consider that even authorities within the UN-IPCC, one of the organizations promoting global warming alarmism worldwide and the use of more expensive alternative fuels, don’t agree.

“The totality of the evidence strongly suggests that Americans should be lowering their fossil fuel use,” say Leftist politicians and government scientists. “Everyone agrees that current fossil fuel use is too high.”

This is the long-established view. It is based on the observation that, for some people, reducing fossil fuel consumption can actually lower utility bills. Because high utility bills is common and raises the risk of being unable to afford the basic necessities, strict fossil fuel limits will benefit society, according to this view.

None of this is persuasive to people like Wagathon, a taxpayer who is being fleeced to underwrite expensive subsidies to pay for the alternative fuels that few of us use.

For one thing, the lower utility bills that come from abstaining from fossil fuel-produced energy are relatively small on average, because individuals vary widely in their desire to place solar cells made in China on their Mexican-made roof tiles or buying shares in a windmill on a hill in the desert for a tax write-off.

Moreover, while a person could reduce his or her fossil fuel use by driving a battery-powered Tesla as the US government recommends and thereby see a drop in gasoline expenses, that also means he or she also will pay nothing toward maintaining the roads they’re driving on, which are paid for by gas taxes. He or she also will be using electricity generated from legacy facilities like dams on rivers and coal-fired power plants which were built to provide taxpayers with light, heat, clean water to their homes, and to treat sewage and provide energy to their employers. This legacy energy was not built and priced with the intention of enabling millionaires to drive expensive tax-subsidized electric cars to the golf course while workers wait in gas lines.

“The current EPA guidelines are based on almost nothing,” said Wagathon. “Some people really want to hang onto this belief system about global warming. But they are ignoring the evidence.”

How could something as simple as CO2 stymie scientists for so long? The answer is that, despite the global warming claims and hazards of too much CO2, actually substantiating how increased atmospheric CO2 influences global temperatures is notoriously difficult.

While the energy use of test animals are easily controlled, humans and their whims introduce an array of murky variables, making people less-than-ideal subjects for what scientists call randomized controlled trials, their preferred form of research. This is especially true when these experiments go on for years, as global warming research often does.

In the absence of such experiments, scientists are forced to consider lesser types of evidence. And in recent years, the debate appears to have tilted in the skeptics’ favor.

Based on our most accurate data, collected by satellites, there has been no global warming for nearly 2 decades. There is no evidence connecting CO2 and higher average global temperatures. There has always been insufficient proof that heeding UN-IPCC recommended limits on fossil fuel use improved health outcomes.

It does not require published results from a massive research effort to know what is going on. Accurate findings do not take much study: people who have less energy actually have poor health outcomes.

To explain this finding, researchers need only point to Third World and developing nations. Their experiences suggests that lower energy use may have harmful effects on health and survival and increasing access to low-cost energy creates more health, wealth and wellbeing.

While many studies are often financed by interested industries, Western government funds global warming alarmism studies. Politics and science have become intertwined and a lot more tribal!

From the beginning, global warming alarmism has drawn criticism. Some of the earliest notions that Americans were using too much fossil fuel arose from international comparisons and mostly were based on envy.

It turned out that some cultures, especially Europe, consumed less energy and had lower economic growth and a lower standard of living as a result.

In one influential paper, researchers learned that based on GDP European countries would rank among the 5 lowest states in the US if they were states instead of envious sovereign nations full of envious, holier-than-thou, secular, socialist bigots. It is certain that averring to the lifestyles of different populations, whether they are African Bushmen, the Chimbu of New Guinea, the Caraja of Brazil or Eskimos, all of whom consume exceptionally low levels of fossil fuel, is irrelevant as those remote peoples are too different from modern populations to make sound comparisons.

Moreover, none of the well-recognized global warming alarmists – like Al Gore and all of the corn-fed lifetime-tenured professors of doom  in America– has the slightest desire to adapt to a lower standard of living than is afforded by life in a modern society.

Looking at the example of life in the Western world, it is better to be poor in a rich country than poor in a poor country. People used much less energy in prehistoric times and they had shorter lifespans than is now available to us.

In a free country, people should have the option to live a simpler life if they wish. “I have ‘green’ friends who will only ride a bicycle and won’t ever drive a car,” Wagathon said. “I do not tell them they’re foolish.” However, are Americans driving too much? That is a matter of dispute. Like delivering heavy newspapers on a Sunday morning while others sleep, many people drive to work where they toil to provide the goods and services others take for granted and out of these workers’ wages the government takes a share in taxes that it uses to enable others to live their ‘green’ lifestyles in relative comfort and security.

“There is no doubt that unfettered use of fossil fuel can produce pollution in specific populations. The problem is demonstrating the efficacy of lowering energy use in a fun-loving, American free-living population,” says Wagathon. “In America, we have the technology to combat pollution and we use it but that takes more not less energy. It is poor countries that lack energy that pollute the most.”

Despite the uncertainty, no matter what the West claims everyone else should do, people living in the Third World and developing countries want to live more like us. They do not appreciate being told that they must live poorer than we do. Western academia’s restrictive energy use recommendations will not last long there.

The global warming alarmists set a poor example. Their argument for restrictions on energy use fails when no one on that side of the argument will declare victory when more people live more poorly and die sooner due to the adoption of their recommendations.

The carbon footprint of Al Gore and Leonardo DiCaprio – both strong activists/advocates for fossil fuel reductions – apparently have colossally large personal carbon footprints. Their hypocrisy is not lost on the public.

Climate scientists, with their much more modest life styles, can’t match Gore and DiCaprio in the carbon footprint department, but nevertheless their carbon footprints are much greater than the average middle class individual owing to their colossal amount of air travel. ~Judith Curry, Walking the climate talk

Let’s get real: in no other aspect of human interaction is the measure of success considered to be the reasonableness of behaviors today based on statistical predictions about what the world may be like 100 years later. Gore and DiCaprio are living for today not tomorrow; and, the rest of us will always have more to worry about than what the weather will be like in 2116.

 

 

 

 

 

Updated 21 February 2016
Posted in The Cultural Hegemony of Climate Superstition | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , ,

The Great California Flood of 2016

Great Flood Sacramento CA 1862

Extreme Atmospheric River Storms Bring Devastation

January 5, 1916 marked the 100 year anniversary of the Hatfield Flood that swept through San Diego, California. An eight-lane freeway flows through Mission Valley now, around office towers, shopping centers, condos and restaurants. The river that runs through Mission Valley in earlier days flowed past Indian villages, the home of Father Serra and his first mission in California and the Presidio which was garrisoned by Spaniards about 200 years ago. But, cloud-bursting torrents of rain in the Cuyamaca and Laguna Mountains filled the San Diego River to overflowing 100 years ago, leaving disaster in its wake.

The 1916 flood may have been caused by the worst rain ever in San Diego but it wasn’t the worst rain in California history. That distinction belongs to an earlier time. “The Great Flood of 1862,” says wiki, “was the largest flood in the recorded history of Oregon, Nevada, and California” (which began at the end of 1861).

We have geologic evidence through flood deposits that even bigger storms than 1861 happened about once every 300 years. We have six events in 1,800 years of geologic record. So we think this event happens, you know, once every hundred, 200 years or so, which puts it in the category as our big San Andreas earthquakes. ~Lucy Jones, USGS

The big one could be coming now – a Great Flood – heading our way. It’s happened before. It will happen again. But, one thing is different this time: if it happens now, the official government scientists of global warming will claim humanity’s CO2 caused it. The bigger problem is that we no longer believe what scientists say. Our government pays Western academia to create models that are worse than any looming natural disaster because without a belief in truth we have nothing.

The scientific failure here isn’t that models are inaccurate – it’s that the models are presented as undebatable apocalyptic predictors, harbingers of certain future catastrophe. Omens that compel us to rethink our lives. If we take issue with that, we’re heretics. (~Tom Hartsfield, Climate Models Botch Another Prediction)

Happy Isle Feb 18, 2016

 

 

 

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It’s Time to Deny Everything You Think

Existence of God all Hashedf Out here

Your government wants so badly for you to believe in global warming. For your own good, and the good of others, don’t be a denier! Put aside any reservations you may have and immediately signify you understand; and, do not worry about it if you feel you perhaps should not trust the government. Your agreement is unnecessary.

…the president of the United States found himself negotiating with He Yafei, a Chinese deputy foreign minister well known for his exceptional command of English and his willingness to use it to advance his country’s worldview—with sometimes provocative arguments. German chancellor Angela Merkel and French president Nicolas Sarkozy pressed China and India to commit to binding targets on the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions. China and India announced they could not support a document that imposed specific numerical targets, even on the Americans and Europeans. Norwegian Prime Minister Jens Stoltenberg asked Indian officials how they could renounce the very plan they had proposed just a few hours earlier. President Mohamed Nasheed of the Maldives, an island chain that lies in the Indian Ocean about seven feet above sea level, demanded that the Chinese delegation explain how it could ask his country to “go extinct.” Sarkozy accused the Chinese of “hypocrisy,” He Yafei lectured the group on environmental damage from the Industrial Revolution, several NGOs accused Western officials of blocking a deal, and a few journalists accused Obama of selling out Europe by letting China off the hook. Not to be ignored, Venezuelan president Hugo Chavez called Obama the devil. A gathering that then – British Prime Minister Gordon Brown had hyped as “the most important conference since the Second World War” ended in acrimony and conflicting accounts of what had happened, and with no progress toward any meaningful agreement. ~Ian Bremmer, Every Nation for Itself: What Happens When No One Leads the World (2012)

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Global Warming’s Climate of Fear

Climate of Fear denied

After twenty years of relentless propaganda and headline after headline… truth is that 57% of people just don’t believe that climate experts know what they are talking about. ~JoNova

“Nobel prize-winning scientist David Karoly,” reported ABC News in 2010, “says Australia’s current extreme weather is evidence of climate change.” Pioneer coral reef explorer and marine biologist, Walter Starck responds, “to attribute these floods to global warming is only a rerun of a similar attempt with tropical cyclones after hurricane Katrina hit New Orleans. Since then several years of below average storm activity plus statistical studies showing no recent trend of increase have left the warmists looking for a new alarm.”

You probably have heard of El Niño and La Niña, describing warming and cooling phases that occur in the Pacific Ocean and its overlying atmosphere in cycles, and are associated with flooding and drought conditions over the land. But, have you heard about, La Nada? We’ve learned over the years that the land-based temperature record is bogus because official temperature measuring stations are improperly located with the result that the temperature readings are corrupted with a warming bias due to the Urban Heat Island effect (UHI). Once we adjust the record to account for a UHI systemic warming bias due to faulty station siting, such as locating official thermometers next to buildings, air conditioning ducts, asphalt parking lots and at busy airports, the amount of global warming supposedly caused by human CO2 is, nada.

Facts are facts: whether it’s caused by natural changes in the North Atlantic circulation patterns or solar activity, there has been no global warming for a while now, going on 20 years. Rather than warming alarmists’ predictions that our children would never know snow, we may actually be headed towards, as many outside Western academia predict, decades of global cooling.

Climate change is complex and its impacts more so. We have limited knowledge of the consequences of the modest change that has occurred in the past. There is even more uncertainty about the effects of the rapid change expected in the future. ~Richard Tol (Bogus prophecies of doom will not fix the climate)

It is continuing to allow fears of global warming to take our attention off the real crisis at hand that may spell, D·O·O·M! Tol pointed out that the Greek’s meltdown during the Eurocrisis in 2014 resulted in a 20% drop in income. None of the drop in the income of the average Greek was the result of climate change. It is Leftist, Eurocommunist thinking and government policies that brings their economy to the brink.

Being a card-carrying global warming, climate change alarmist is simple and can be very lucrative too. Simply bide your time, let natural oscillations take their course, and then blame any bad weather on humanity’s CO2. For example, the bi-monthly Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO is associated with variations in mid-latitude tropical thunderstorm activity) may interact with an Arctic Oscillation (AO is characterized by a counter-clockwise Arctic wind pattern) and a North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO is described as a blocking of the jet stream over the North Atlantic), and combine with an El Niño-Southern Oscillation. ENSO currently is in the phase of a peaking El Niño and a likely outcome of all these weather activities is a torrential rain event somewhere in Florida. When that happens a Nobel prize-winning climate scientist probably will point and proclaim the flood is an example of extreme weather and evidence of climate change.

Fact is, as yo wise Moma might tell ya’
weather is like a box of chocolates.
You never know what you’re gonna get.

 

 

 

Posted in The Cultural Hegemony of Climate Superstition | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , ,

Shredding Global Warming Pandering to Panic

Shredding Global Warming Junk Science
Imagine a World with No Junk Science

I now am persuaded that the far greater danger is that researchers and government bureaucrats will use claims of harassment to hamper public debate and as excuses to hide information from the public that would embarrass them. ~Ronald Bailey

The 21st session of the Paris Climate Change Conference took place November 30th. More heads of state, political leaders and government bureaucrats gathered there that day than ever attended a UN event. The speech-making went on until the 11th of December and it was a wonderful forum for those who are angling to head the UN agency that is tasked to save the world from capitalism, America, prosperity, modernism and the evil oil companies that provided the energy, champagne, baguettes and brie needed to put on this dog and pony show that was 100% paid for by the unemployed.

The intolerance of the ‘humanity is causing global warming’ AGW True Believers is palpable. The Left declared its own jihad on the West, demonizing everyone and thing that provides them with what they demand: the economy, morals, ethics, traditions, principles, the productive and the futures of their children. Appeals to panic has become the tool of choice in the superstitious grab bag  of the ideologically-driven.

AGW is a story of conspiring and collusion, politics, hate and fear. If climate research money had been spent to find the actual causes of global warming – and not for the single purpose of proving humanity’s CO2 was responsible for it – it would by now be perfectly clear to everyone that, “temperature variations over the last 2,000 years suggests global warming (and cooling), are the rule, not the exception.” Unfortunately, as Dr. Roy Spencer reminds us when talking about a 2005 article by John P. A. Ioannidis and irrespective of whether we’re talking about medicine or global warming, Most Published Research Findings are False.

Officially sanctioned alarm about global warming has been driven by the Left’s demand for legitimization of the secular, socialist state bureaucracy. In pursuit of that goal, academia has been the proving ground for every phony idea the Left could dream up to knock society down.

One of the key reasons why the statist left has so much control over the nation is that it has succeeded in its project of taking over the education system. In particular, they have wormed their way into schools of education and use their domination of the training grounds for future teachers (many of whom aren’t particularly bright; the education curriculum repels students who don’t want to waste their time on pabulum) to impart collectivistic, pro-government, anti-market ideas in the students’ minds. ~George Leef (National Review)

So, the fact that, global warming is caused by humanity, becomes a new reality. Like indulging a fascination about vintage analog watches in an age of supercomputers, secular, socialist academia has taken reason to the opposite extreme: wishing to live in a virtual world instead of the real one. Meta-world academics and the political bureaucracy to which they are beholden – like Renaissance artists to the doctrine of the Catholic Church – have given wings to a new kind of mystical thinking where the sterile results of unverifiable computer models are more real than dew on daisies.

Untethered from reality and more than willing to stab the culture in the back, Western academics have become good atheists just like Germans became good Nazis. To push back against the gaping nihilism that darkens their dreams, academia has taken onto itself a new theology called climatology, which amounts to nothing more than the putative science of preventing the seas from rising as the productive shovel the snow.

The world is not a hotter and more intimidating place to live than it ever was. And, humanity faces no actual threat from global warming. But, these are not the conclusions of the West’s academics who churn the data in search of humanity’s heat. Of the murderous examples of failed socialism we witnessed during the 20th century, the UN/Euro-communist science of global warming has been the greatest Nobel prize winning anti-humanism movement in history.

Humanitarians and lovers of liberty are rightfully skeptical of AGW goupthinkers. “Yes, there’s a lot of crankology out there,” says Judith Curry. “But not all of it is. If only 1 percent of it or 10 percent of what the skeptics say is right, that is time well spent because we have just been too encumbered by groupthink.” Obviously, record snowfall such as occurred during the North American Winter of 2014-15 seriously challenges modern academic pseudo-reality and dampens what Curry calls, climate tribalism. But then, superstition will raise its icy metropolitan head again and again because it’s not how many feet of snow fell last year in Boston that matters when it comes to the politics of global warming tomorrow.

The science of climate change makes us stupid. As the weather service tells us readings might not make it out of the 30s this week, followed by another hard freeze next week, with blustery northerly winds sending wind chill values into the single digits, the AGW True Believer Cult must pray for a swift end to all of the global warming. That is how schoolteachers in the Western Education Industrial Complex are trained to act, all the while being heedless of their lack of value to society as they push their runaway global warming climate porn on innocent children.

There is no reason to believe that climate change is so terrible at the moment. Unless you raise funds for Greenpeace or are a politician who presents themself as the savior of mankind: then you gain by exaggerating things. The reality is that the climate hardly affects our wellbeing and our prosperity. There are happy and rich people living in boiling hot Singapore, but also in freezing cold Canada. There are unhappy and poor people in boiling hot Kenya but also stone cold Mongolia. Climate change is not the main environmental problem. Dirty air causes currently roughly four million deaths each year. ~Richard Tol

Save the world: squeeze your oranges by hand!

 

 

 

Updated: 15-January-2016
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The Early Days of the Global Warming Industry

Wag on...

but now… we may be in a cooling trend!

Yosemite

Facts are facts: first, there has been no global warming going on 20 years; and, satellite data now tells us there has been global cooling over the last 5 years. Antarctica is getting bigger not smaller. Climate science has been politicized. Climate scientists have engaged in exaggerated claims and outright fraud since the ’90s and have been wrong on just about everything.

The research challenges the conclusions of other studies, including the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC) 2013 report, which says that Antarctica is overall losing land ice… The extra snowfall that began 10,000 years ago has been slowly accumulating on the ice sheet and compacting into solid ice over millennia, thickening the ice in East Antarctica and the interior of West Antarctica by an average of 0.7 inches (1.7 centimeters) per year. This small thickening, sustained over thousands of years and spread over the vast expanse of these sectors of Antarctica, corresponds to a very large gain of ice – enough to outweigh the losses from fast-flowing glaciers in other parts of the continent and reduce global sea level rise. (Latest NASA Research)

“Annual snow accumulation increased in the early 20th century, rising 30 percent between 1900 and 2010,” according to the AGU (Amer. Geophysical Union) and BAS (British Antarctic Survey) when describing the findings of the new study. “The study’s authors found that in the last 30 years of the study, the ice sheet gained nearly 5 meters (16 feet) more water than it did during the first 30 years of the studied time period.” The lead author of the study, BAS’ Elizabeth Thomas says that based on the 300 year long record, “we can see that the amount of snow that has been accumulating in this region since the 1990s is the highest we have seen in the last 300 years.”

In other words, the more we learn the more we see that everything is unusual compared to what the global warming alarmists predict. What is normal is that we cannot predict the weather and by extension, the climate. Nothing is as simple in the real world as it is in the digital world of the climate models that the Left uses to blame humanity and modernity for heating up the globe (the AGW hypothesis).

Hopefully the polar bears will make it if a cold snap blankets the Arctic. And, what about all of the claims made by global warming alarmists about Earth’s species in peril? A recent study in Nature by Fangliang and Hubbell found that, “Species–area relationships always overestimate extinction rates from habitat loss.”

Previous estimates of extremely high extinction rates, – for example, one species per hour to one species a day, 33–50% of all species between the 1970s and 2000, from half to several million species by 2000 or 50% of species by 2000 – have not been observed. (Ibid.)

If humanity actually is responsible for causing an extinction in the modern era it will have to be the 6th extinction because there already have been 5 major extinctions on Earth before any people were around to cut down and burn a single log. If we are ever able to predict species extinction rates on Earth it will only be when we can appreciate change wrought by inevitable natural climate change ebbs and flows and accept to our chagrin that humanity is not the cause.

Unfortunately, despite social chaos that the global warming establishment has helped create, they “cannot or will not face-up to the fact that they have picked the wrong horse to bet their future scientific reputations upon,” observed Dr. Bill Gray. “The older warmers are now too far down the AGW road to be able to gracefully extricate themselves.  Other warmers may feel that their prestige-enhancements and the governmental funding rewards they have gotten have been worth it — even if their warming alarms are later proven wrong.”

Western academia has the idea they can save the world by lying to the public and labeling those who exercise legitimate scientific skepticism as deniers, as if demanding accurate data and climate models that really work are tantamount to questioning the holocaust. They call AGW a theory but that is nothing more or less than dogmatism hiding under the false colors of science.

Real scientists have a duty to be skeptical when they witness a diviner pointing down while waving a dousing rod and proclaiming, “there’s water right here!” There may well be water right there if you dig deep enough and knowledge of the surrounding area may lead you to believe finding water in that very spot is likely. Nevertheless, a healthy suspicion of beliefs based on nothing but witchcraft, superstition, feelings, moods, political correctness, fear, mental disorders, religion or hockey stick flimflammery is not dogmatism, it’s science.

Who’s unaware global warming is a Left vs. right issue
and therefore more political than scientific?

 

 

 

 

 

 

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We’re at War with Radical Academics

nuffsaid

Funding– “climate science… increased from about
$500 million per year to about $9 billion.”
~Richard Lindzen

Climate science is just the latest example of Leftist dialectical sophistry and… we’re paying for it! More amazing and astonishing though and unprecedented in the annals of science is that climate researchers are hyping their work, both exaggerating and overstating their results like never before in a manner that was essentially described as outright fraud.

…competition for grants and glory has grown increasingly fierce. In response, many researchers are touting their work more aggressively. (Dutch study finds huge surge in hype)

And, all of the talk really is just, academic. Destroying the American economy does not change the fact that the construction of 2,440 new coal plants are planned around the world. If global warming really was a more pressing danger than I-S-I-S as is claimed by the Left, who is going to provide the boots on the ground that will be needed to put down all of the globe-killing CO2 polluters and prevent the impending catastrophe that academia’s climate models predict?

CO2 is not a pollutant like black carbon aerosol and mercury. – Judith Curry

 

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THe LeFt ScHLoNGs EcONomY aS CLiMaTe SCiEnCe SAys:

Doomsday postponed again

Look as hard as you may for a long as you will and with as jaundiced and biased an eye as you please toward facts that justify Western academia’s belief in AGW and still there is no adequate explanation for the current quiescent period in global warming. These halcyon days and perhaps a cooling Earth are simple realities that we all must learn to accept, possibly for decades to come. How long must we wait before we stop pushing the alarm button? How many years of no global warming does it take to be unafraid? Must we wait for seas to recede to have a nice day?

Let’s enjoy global warming while it lasts and have a very Merry Christmas and a…

Happy
New
Year

 

 

 

!

 

 

 

(Updated 26 December 2015)
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Climate Science Reformation in the New World

Bright Seaside

Old World Claims of Impending
Climate Catastrophe are Way Passé

How likely is it that current views prevalent among those in the official climate change establishment will remain unchanged after ten more years of no global warming? Twenty years? Thirty? How many more years of no global warming will it take to bring about a reformation in their belief system or is a Martin Luther and unrelated outside forces always required to change perceptions and bring about needed doctrinal changes?

Obviously, more science is not the answer. I think most of us already realize neither Michael Mann nor Al Gore – and, not even Obama – have authority over the sun or Earth’s 1,500 year climate cycle. No one really believes America is at fault for rising seas, receding glaciers or bad weather around the world.

The Western Sultans of climate disaster have become increasingly irrelevant. We are beginning to hear the heralds of climate pragmatism. Meanwhile, a steadfast refusal to think freely has marginalized Western Universities; and, its many victims of political correctness, mind-numbing ideological uniformity and creativity-crushing liberal conformity are beginning to show their new age irrelevance.

Watch climatists work as they pretend they can tease out the eerie solitude of a lonesome flugelhorn amidst the cacophony of an orchestral warm-up by turning a deaf ear to everything other than what they want to hear. Have you noticed the perfect 1-to-1 relationship between the upward bias in the size of government and the upward bias in the global temperature trend, suggesting that the upward bias on the temperature trend will be corrected only when the size of government is reduced?

Academia is carrying out a pogrom against modernity and blaming the productive for stoking the fires of global warming (AGW theory). In concert with these views, the Left’s eager willingness to sacrifice the future of America on the altar of academia’s unverifiable climate models is analogous to witchdoctors in superstitious pagan societies who responded to bad weather by sacrificing virgins to appease their gods.

In the fever of our times and an example of the snake turning on itself to eat its own tail, eveready alarmist prognosticators of global warming like Naomi Oreskes recently labeled as denialists, other self-anointed establishment climate experts because they don’t go far enough in trumpeting our imminent doom. This is happening while the real story on the ground is that AGW theory is a lot of hot air and obviously more like political science and political correctness than natural science or common sense.

We recently were treated to the insidious news (bordering on invidious) that the books have been cooked. “We believe the NOAA/NCDC homogenization adjustment,” says Watts, et al (link), “causes well sited [temperature monitoring] stations to be adjusted upwards to match the trends of poorly sited stations.” Rather than a ‘homogenization’ of raw data to remove at least some part of the warming bias that the vast majority of poorly sited stations introduce into the record – due to the Urban Heat Island (UHI) effect –  the warming bias was simply baked into the pie.

This is what happens when everyone knows there will be no consequences for lying to the people. It requires a willing suspension of disbelief to think global warming is all just one big innocent mistake and not a hoax and scare tactic for political purposes to blame humanity’s co2 for foul weather, killing the polar bears and raising the level of the seas.

…recent warming period started in 1951, not the mid-1970s (1975) as has typically been shown. In other words, not only has NOAA endeavored to eliminate the slowdown in global warming in recent years, NOAA also appears to be attempting to eliminate the slowdown (or cooling) of global surface temperatures from the mid-20th Century to the mid-1970s. ~Bob Tisdale, ‘Busting (or not) the mid-20th century global-warming hiatus’)

This is the sort of bias that we will of course endeavor to correct by throwing more money at the problem; but, that is a waste of resources. It is high time we rethink the issue and admit where we’re at: like Michael Mann’s hockey stick, the land-based temperature record is quatsch!

The majority of weather stations used by NOAA to detect climate change temperature signal have been compromised by encroachment of artificial surfaces like concrete, asphalt, and heat sources like air conditioner exhausts… NOAA’s methods are not correcting for this problem, resulting in an inflated temperature trend. (Watts, A., et al., AGU presentation)

 

Given the current state of public education,
Jesus would be a skeptic. ~Wagathon

 

 

 

(Updated 22-December-2015)

 

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Insuperable Problem of AGW Unexpectedly Solved

Deus ex machina

Concerning ourselves over perceived global warming measured in tenths of a degree over decades is ridiculous when you consider that, even a rapid climate change – i.e., rapid in a geophysical sense – would not be that noticeable on a human timescale. An inexorably slow amount of global warming even if caused by humanity or for whatever the reasons might be is of no practical concern to the living. Rather, it’s a catastrophic gobsmacking like a meteor landing in Miami that could be worrisome. And even then, what could humanity realistically do in the event of a large and abrupt change in climate due to some natural catastrophe over which we humans have no control, such as has actually happened before in Earth’s history?

Geological records corroborate ancient myths and legends reporting that the Earth’s ice-age ended abruptly in a period of excessive warmth… At the height of the Bølling-Allerød period [at the end of the Oldest Dryas, c. 14,700-12,700 years ago], winter temperatures in the British Isles had increased by 25 degrees centigrade and summer temperatures by 8 degrees centigrade to levels typically found in that region today. In Chile, summer temperatures warmed by 12 degrees centigrade, reaching a level significantly higher than the average temperatures that have prevailed there during the present interglacial.” (Paul A. LaViolette, Earth Under Fire: Humanity’s Survival of the Ice Age)

Clintonian politics is clear: Hillary punches Obama’s ticket that, climate change is a greater threat to America than terrorism. That is the Democrat position and it may actually be true but only if climate change is viewed as homegrown high tech domestic terrorism involving the use of government resources in a manner that endangers all of us. And, global warming alarmism is in fact being used to intimidate the civilian population, influence government policy, curtail legitimate research through coercion and to destroy the energy industry and the economy.

Several large nuclear power plants were completed in the early 1970s at a typical cost of $170 million, whereas plants of the same size completed in 1983 cost an average of $1.7 billion, a 10-fold increase. Some plants completed in the late 1980s have cost as much as $5 billion, 30 times what they cost 15 years earlier… [Cohen, et al., Costs of Nuclear Power Plants – What Went Wrong?]

We can’t have it both ways. We cannot continue to turn a blind eye to an obvious demonstration of the real cost of too much government regulation as if only the Left in this country understands the true cost of nuclear energy. Why is it that only in America when making electricity, nuclear energy is considered the world’s most dangerous fuel? Why is it only in America that it is evil to make a profit from providing energy to those who use it to provide the rest of us the goods and services we need, enjoy and demand?

Rather than pushing the boundaries of human knowledge, most universities now churn out dreary, predictable research that nobody reads. ~Allister Heath (‘A refusal to think freely is making universities increasingly irrelevant’)

Heath says, “The vast majority of academics are of the Left–”  The climate debate isn’t hindering the economy but Leftists are. The taxpayer is paying for filing cabinets full of worthless global warming junk science. Remember when the Left eagerly turned out the industrial-military complex as being unneeded and too expensive? For the good of the country, the economy and to recapture needed integrity and honor in science, we see now that it is the government-education complex that’s due for serious downsizing.

It’s time for a meaningful rapprochement between public-funded academia and public benefit. When commenting on the change in his political philosophy — given that capitalism simply out-innovated other economic systems and without robbing the liberty of others — Christoper Hitchens stated, “I am no longer a socialist, but I still am a Marxist.” That’s not good enough. We must put an end to dhimmitude in Western academia and its forced conversions of scientific skeptics to the pagan god of global warming alarmism.

Death by thermageddon as prophesized by Al Gore never happened. Still, we’ve got to keep the global warming hoax alive. Meanwhile, the Sun remains anomalously quiet and Earth cools and we learn more about what lies beneath the surface of our culture, society and us.

Superstitious global warming alarmists are Western civilization’s hothouse flowers. They’ve never known misery, suffering and death from energy-deprivation. The end-of-the-world prognostications from the Left of global warming catastrophe that never came but, the Left never cared if they were right or wrong about that and it does not worry them that the EPA prefers politics to science.

Could it be that the leading global warming alarmists who have taken over Western academia are not really Americans at all but are driven instead by hatred of America and that, “this reality is proof that the global media itself is in the hands of the perpetrators?”

You must understand. The leading Bolsheviks who took over Russia were not Russians. They hated Russians. They hated Christians. Driven by ethnic hatred, they tortured and slaughtered millions of Russians without a shred of human remorse. The October Revolution was not what you call in America the “Russian Revolution.” It was an invasion and conquest over the Russian people. More of my countrymen suffered horrific crimes at their bloodstained hands than any people or nation ever suffered in the entirety of human history. It cannot be understated. Bolshevism was the greatest human slaughter of all time. The fact that most of the world is ignorant of this reality is proof that the global media itself is in the hands of the perpetrators ~Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn

Bolsheviks, aka Bolshevists, aka Bolsheviki –i.e., the majority: revolutionary socialists, aka Communists. Leftists! There’s your criminals. Although Leftists like Christopher Hitchens seem to have excused the methods the Bolsheviks employed to consolidate power as a necessary part of the Russian revolution, hopefully French philosopher Jean-Paul Sartre evolved enough before he died to appreciate error in such thinking as he witnessed Communist totalitarianism unfold under his nose.

In answer to the insolubility of the crushingly expensive and disastrously counter-productive non-problem of global warming — and, given that AGW is nothing but a hoax based on a theory that is motivated, invented and maintained by an evergreen coalition between government and the education complex to push a Leftist socio/political and ideological agenda — even outvoted college-educated Republicans may soon join the unrepresented productive in America in coming to realize that Donald Trump may be the only true, deus ex machina.

“So the fake 97 per cent consensus is no longer enough. These scientists are saying that, because there’s a supposed 97 per cent consensus among climate scientists, they don’t need a 51 per cent consensus from the electorate.”  Mark Steyn

NOAA and NASA have adjusted the past to make the present appear hotter, and thus supposedly demonstrated that in fact there is no such [two-decade global-warming] “pause.” As a result, public opinion, which no longer trusts the Big Climate enforcers to tell them what the climate will be like in 2050, now no longer trusts them to tell them what it was like in 1950. ~Mark Steyn (Ibid.)

…only three per cent of Americans regard climate change as their major concern. Three per cent. There is your 97 per cent consensus, gentlemen. ~Mark Steyn

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Academia’s Never-Ending Climate Disaster Always Looms

Global-warming_penguins

Global Warming Doesn’t Cause Terrorism

The downside of Western academia prostituting it’s soul pushing AGW theory: its credibility in science is now shot! Sacrificed on the altar of global warming. What’s worse than discovering after years of doing everything possible – even after Academia warned us there would be irreversible negative consequences – we see instead that humanity’s impact on global climate has been negligible: our contribution to a change in the rate of global warming, undetectable? The very science that predicted disastrous climate change now shows global cooling. Only scientists within Western academia cling to their climate models. Meanwhile, those outside the Western global warming establishment now believe decades of global cooling lie ahead because the sun also has gone on hiatus.

…Where’s the Warming?

US Global Cooling Trend 2000-2015

What we have come to expect from the official scientists of climate catastrophism is all too predictable. Despite having no disenable impact whatsoever on climate, humanity is still guilty and no matter what we do or will ever do, we’re all doomed! We know what the radical climatologists are doing. The global warming establishment has become the ISIS of science, rounding up and stoning the productive for the crime of living, terrorizing the population and robbing our children of any opportunity to rise above the fear and ignorance of the society they were born into.

To understand climate change we must consider that temperature data at any point in time is the culmination of layers of factors, affected by complex terrestrial conditions, influenced by relationships with stellar connections that are years in the making. The temperature at a relatively few places on the surface of the earth, no matter how many adjustments we apply to them, are just the tip of the iceberg and provide a peek at best into the murky waters of the future. A statistical analysis of temperatures over time based on a monomaniacal focus on atmospheric CO2 levels only blinds us to all of the many other unseen factors like the underwater portion of an iceberg that materially affect weather. And, it’s futile: we’re mining for gold on the tip of an iceberg.

Freeman Dyson wrote a strong foreword to a report published recently by The Global Warming Policy Foundation, which calls for a reassessment of carbon dioxide: “To any unprejudiced person reading this account,” he wrote, “the facts should be obvious: that the non-climatic effects of carbon dioxide as a sustainer of wildlife and crop plants are enormously beneficial, that the possibly harmful climatic effects of carbon dioxide have been greatly exaggerated, and that the benefits clearly outweigh the possible damage.”

Carbon dioxide levels have risen inexorably since the 1700s. Yet despite this, climate sensitive indicators of human and environmental wellbeing that carbon dioxide affects directly, such as crop yields, food production, prevalence of hunger, access to cleaner water and biological productivity, and those that it affects indirectly, such as living standards and life expectancies, have improved virtually everywhere. In most areas they have never been higher, nor do they show any sustained signs of reversing. ~Freeman Dyson

What are we to believe? Michael Crichton said this day was coming. “In recent years,” Crichton warned, “much has been said about the post-modernist claims about science to the effect that science is just another form of raw power, tricked out in special claims for truth-seeking and objectivity that really have no basis in fact. Science, we are told, is no better than any other undertaking. These ideas anger many scientists, and they anger me. But recent events have made me wonder if they are correct.”

Freeman Dyson understands who’s wrong-headed: “It’s very sad that in this country, political opinion parted,” he said, in an interview with The Register. “I’m 100 percent Democrat myself, and I like Obama. But he took the wrong side on this [climate change] issue, and the Republicans took the right side.”

Compare to the American culture that the Left demonizes, the lifestyle of the inhabitants in the Paris neighborhood that modernity left behind where terrorists lived and plotted and were rooted out, shot, arrested or blew up: “she was not surprised the police had tracked the suspects to the neighborhood… She said a friend of hers believed she had seen one of the wanted men… ‘She was terrified, and she looked at another woman knowing that she recognized him too …,’ [saying a resident there], ‘They did not dare to go to the police.’” (See, NYT)

Not even the French authorities understand what is happening in their midst. Global warming doesn’t cause terrorism. Superstition, a fundamental ignorance of science and clinging to a failed Leftist ideology that continues to justify making politics out of the weather and natural events to achieve its liberal Utopia, causes terrorism.

“Didier Paillard, the mayor of St.-Denis, said the Rue du Corbillon, where the raid occurred, had ‘many buildings and habitats in a disgraceful state,’ with some apartments lacking even electricity and running water. ‘We were not prepared for this discovery,’ he said of the raid. ‘This is a city that has 130 different nationalities, including people who come from war zones. We are a population that needs serenity.’” (Ibid.)

Unlike the goal of the climate talks in Paris, the truth is, serenity takes energy. This is a simple reality that Bjorn Lomborg seems to understand much better than all of the Leftists and liberals of climate change officialdom.

The U.N.’s climate chief, Christiana Figueres, says openly that the aim of the talks is “to change the economic development model that has been reigning for at least 150 years, since the industrial revolution.”

But before ditching that economic model, it’s worth considering how much progress it has brought.

For one, life expectancy in the past 150 years has more than doubled, to 71 years in 2013 from fewer than 30 years in 1870. Meanwhile, billions of people have risen out of poverty. One and a half centuries ago, more than 75% of the world’s population lived in extreme poverty, consuming less than $1 a day, in 1985 money. This year the World Bank expects extreme poverty to fall below 10% for the first time in history. (~Bjorn Lomborg, Gambling the world economy on climate, WSJ)

Judith Curry also seems to have a clearer understanding of the poverty of the official climate change science underlying the bankruptcy of Western civilization’s global warming agenda. “In 50 years,” says Curry, “we may be looking back on all this as using chemotherapy to try to cure a head cold.” The time is fast approaching when we as a free people can do nothing to free science from the phenomenon of global warming alarmism but wait for nature to blow down the house of cards.

Considering how much may be predicted about the climate consensus from one single fact, i.e. it is a culture… that is bulldozing its way through our morals and laws and infra-structure… that could never have happened without the stalking horse of science, from going bad on us. ~Andy West (Climate culture)

All you sons and daughters of the goddess Juno, your community has been stolen. There is a new temple on the hill. It is built upon the dead ashes of capitalism; and, it is run by the bitter professors of reductionism who worship manufactured science and live in the grip of imminent calamity.

The culture is dead, long live the culture! ~Wagathon

 

 

 

 

 

(Updated: 20 November, 2015)

 

 

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